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IP V6At the latest NANOG (North American Network Operators Group) held in October, IP V6 was a major topic. It has been a hot topic for quite some time now. In fact, a few meetings ago NANOG turned off IP V4 for a while to give the attendees some better insight into the difficulty of making IP V6 work.



There were a number of talks about IP V6. The main arguments were whether the deployment of IP V6 was very small or tiny. The range of IP V6 vs IP V4 traffic in the studies was a high of ˝ of 1 percent to a low of .003 percent. IP V6 is not ubiquitous by any stretch.



Another interesting observation was that IP V6 traffic was not growing as fast as IP V4 traffic. Why should we care?



The organizations that allocate address space will run out of address space in about 18 months give or take 6 months. When we run out this will not immediately stop the network, but networks that are growing may start running out of addresses as they need to add new customers, or their customers grow.



The first way they will deal with this is by making use of all their available address space. This makes sense, but for simplicity most networks are inefficient in their address allocation. Using these spare addresses will complicate routing. As providers are scavenging their own space for unused addresses, others with addresses to spare may be willing to provide them. Some have speculated about a “gray market” for IP V4 addresses, but however it happens, the address space will become more fragmented.



Routing the Internet is already a challenge. This will make it more so, both for the engineers doing the routing and for the hardware that has to actually route these packets. More complexity usually means more service disruptions. Some, like Larry Roberts have talked about how the growth of load on routers is going to outstrip their capability in the near future. Fragmented address space will add to this problem. So we may begin to expect more frequent slowdowns and disruptions in the next few years.



As IP V6 capable hardware and software works itself into the inventory we will see more use of IP V6. The key will be a “tipping point” where IP V6 addressing becomes the norm and IP V4 will only be used for legacy systems. I don’t know when the “tipping point” will occur, but when it does those networks that are not ready will have to rush. This may cost in hardware and software, in staff time, and in service disruptions. In my opinion, developing a plan, funding the plan, and executing the plan so that you are ready is vital. You should also make sure your providers are ready.


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